Mean Squared Terror

GridSearch is Not Enough: Part Four

Sharing is Caring

Put Cookie-Monster on a Diet.

More Descent, Less Gradient

Your regression may only need one gradient step. Really.

Priors of Great Potential

Common Sense reduced to Priors

Introduction to Inference

Reduce Common Sense to Calculus.

Theoretical Dependence

Some assumptions are just plain weird.

The Cost of Success

VeryHighAccuracy[tm] as a Problem.

The Elephants not in the Room

The unknowns might be more interesting.

Roman Reasoning

We should evolve beyond it.

What Overfitting Looks Like

GridSearch is not enough: Part Three.

Parallel Grid

An Ode to Pipes, Seeds and Simplicity

Goodhart, Bad Metric

GridSearch is not Enough: Part Two.

Little Victories Scale

Thoughts on automating automation itself.

Outliers: Selection vs. Detection

Algorithms can detect outliers, but how do you select algorithms?

Foresight for Predictions

Predictions without Foresight can be Anticipated to become Dreadful.

Bingo Ball Pit

An Exercise in Systemic Counting

High on Probability, Low on Confidence

GridSearch is not Enough: Part One.

Some Geometric Algorithms

And Something Obvious about Albert Heijn.

The Future of Data Science is Past

And it's not just because that's whats *actually* being predicted.

Optimisation, Not Gradients

A small point to point out a difference.

Sensors are Servers

The only servers in my stack are the sensors themselves.

Wine Cellar Strategies

Pretending there's an optimal way to drink it.

VI Drives me NUTS

Feel free to be a bit weary.

Rephrasing the Billboard

A probability problem involving 40,000 sent letters.

Gaussian Auto Embeddings

Sort of came up with an alternative to VI here.

Amdahl's Law

The more CPU's you add, the worse it gets.

Feed Forward Posteriors

Combine the Neural with the Normal.

Passive Agressive Algorithms

A VeryGood[tm] name for a VeryGood[tm] Algorithm.

Vary Very Optimally

How to search in search space.

Bayesian Shaving Cream

A plausible (and general) method for model selection.

Bayesian/Streaming Algorithms

A convenient overlap.

Avoiding, and Preventing, Joins

Join me in preventing this.

Hello DeepQ

Stick a Network in the Q-learning algorithm.

Twain Learning

Never let your school get into the way of your regression.

Switching to Sampling in Order to Switch

A simple introduction to PyMC3.

Pokemon Recommendations, Part 2

Even more of a Sequel than SQL.

Lego Minifigures

An investment opportunity and sampling.

Custom Predictors in R

It's different than Python, but S3 isn't *that* bad.

Ensemble Yourself

Scribbles as an Algorithm Service.

Pokemon Recommendations, Part 1

An Attempt at an OptimalPortfolio[tm]/

Linear Models Solving Non-Linear Problems

XOR turns out to be a bad argument.

Variable Selection in Machine Learning

Merely *a* argument, but one that I like.

Digital Nomad

Some observations but also downsides.

Vanity Metrics

How I got an A+ for measuring the wrong thing.

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